Just a half-dozen races remain in the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series regular season, starting with the 2024 Great American Getaway 400. The race will take place on Sunday at 2:30 p.m. ET from Pocono Raceway in northeastern Pennsylvania. Joe Gibbs Racing has dominated this track recently as JGR enters NASCAR 2024 at Pocono with six wins in the last seven July races at the track. Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch each collected three of those wins, with Chase Elliott (2022) the lone non-Joe Gibbs Racing driver to win since 2017.
The latest Great American Getaway 400 odds list Hamlin as the 17-4 favorite. Kyle Larson, who leads the Cup Series standings but finished 39th at last week's Chicago Street Race, is 5-1, while a pair of JGR drivers in Christopher Bell and Martin Truex are at 15-2. Busch, who now races for Richard Childress Racing, is a long-shot 20-1 to use in the 2024 NASCAR at Pocono stakes. Before you make any NASCAR 2024 predictions at Pocono, make sure you do check out the latest 2024 Great American Getaway 400 picks from SportsLine's proven display model.
Developed by Daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
McClure's model was hot in 2023, taking the win from Martin Truex Jr. in the Clash (20-1) as well as his New Hampshire win (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana win (10-1), Denny's triumph Hamlin at Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The model correctly predicted winners in both of the playoff races, with Ryan Blaney going 12-1 at Talladega and Larson going 9-2 in Las Vegas.
She then called her first winner of the 2024 season with Larson in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout and predicted Hamlin wins at Bristol 5-1 and Richmond 17-4. It also accounted for an impressive five of Larson's wins during his historic 2021 season. Overall, the model has 18 winners since 2021, including nine last year and three in the first seven races of this season. Anyone who followed his lead in these NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated the 2024 Great American Getaway 400 times 10,000 times. Head over to SportsLine to see the full predicted NASCAR at Pocono leaderboard.
Top 2024 Great American Getaway 400 Predictions
For the 2024 NASCAR race at Pocono, the model is high on Brad Keselowski, even though he's a 15-1 longshot in the latest 2024 Great American Getaway 400 odds. Aside from a 24th-place finish in 2022, Keselowski is in the top 10 of the final standings of NASCAR in each of the past seven years. He's in a position to do so again this year thanks to a win at Darlington and seven top 10s. Just two drivers have scored more top 10s than Keselowski, who also has a Pocono win on his resume since 2011.
Despite just one victory, few have conquered this triangular oval track like Keselowski, whose career average is 10.9. He ranks second among all drivers (minimum five starts) and has posted 11 top 10s at the track in his last 15 appearances. Over 40% of his 26 NASCAR starts at Pocono have resulted in top-5 finishes, and by comparison, the four-time Pocono Busch winner has just over 30% of his starts at the track result in top-5 finishes. Keselowski is an absolute steal at his current odds, so you shouldn't hesitate to use him in NASCAR 2024 at Pocono betting.
Another huge shocker: Hamlin, the 17-4 favorite in Vegas, barely cracks the top five. There's much better value in the 2024 NASCAR Pocono starting lineup. Hamlin thought he had a record seventh Pocono win in 2022 after taking the checkered flag in the M&M's Fan Appreciation 400, but was later disqualified for failing scrutineering.
It was a huge statement from NASCAR in the new Next-Gen Car era, and Hamlin would rebound to win at Pocono in 2023. However, he has struggled of late and has not finished in the top-10 in his last five NASCAR starts. Cup series. He's also finished outside the top 20 in six of his last 12 starts, and that's a big reason why the model is shunned, even at Pocono. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the NASCAR predicted leaderboard at SportsLine.
How to make 2024 NASCAR at Pocono picks
The model also targets another driver with 2024 Great American Getaway 400 odds of 15-1 or greater to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who supports this guide could hit it big. You can see all the model options in NASCAR at SportsLine.
So who wins the 2024 Great American Getaway 400 and which longshot is it necessary to return? Check out the latest 2024 NASCAR odds at Pocono below visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 NASCAR at Pocono leaderboard, all from the model that has posted 18 winners, including three already this year.
2024 Great American Getaway 400 odds, drivers, lineup
See all NASCAR at Pocono picks on SportsLine.
Denny Hamlin 17-4
Kyle Larson 5-1
Christopher Bell 15-2
Martin Truex Jr. 15-2
Tyler Reddick 8-1
William Byron 19-2
Chase Elliott 12-1
Ty Gibbs 12-1
Brad Keselowski 12-1
Ryan Blaney 15-1
Kyle Busch 20-1
Chris Buescher 25-1
Ross Chastain 25-1
Joey Logano 25-1
Alex Bowman 28-1
Bubba Wallace 30-1
Daniel Suarez 75-1
Noah Gragson 100-1
Josh Berry 100-1
Chase Briscoe 125-1
Todd Gilliland 150-1
Michael McDowell 150-1
Eric Jones 150-1
Austin Sidrich 200-1
AJ Almendinger 250-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 250-1
Carson Hossevar 250-1
Austin Dillon 250-1
Justin Haley 300-1
Ryan Preece 300-1
Zane Smith 500-1
John Hunter Nemeczek 500-1
Corey Lajoie 500-1
Harrison Burton 1000-1
Daniel Hemric 2000-1
JJ Yeley 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
